Live prices, trends & outlook · Updated daily
480$/t
▲ 1.2%
Updated 11 Apr 2026
Based on 95 days of live data
ICE No.11 Price
19.8
CME · USc/lb
CCS (Sugar Content)
14.2
ASMC · %
Crush Volume
31.5
ABARES · Mt cane
Top Export Market
South Korea
ABARES
The current sugar price of $480/t provides modest cash flow relief for Queensland cane growers, particularly benefiting larger operations with economies of scale who can better absorb the elevated input costs reflected in the fertiliser cost index of 128.4. Queensland producers remain most exposed given the state's dominant position in national sugar production and its critically low agricultural conditions score of 23, with smaller family operations and those with higher debt servicing costs facing the greatest pressure from the combination of modest price gains against persistent cost inflation. Financial advisers should immediately review debt servicing capacity ratios for sugar clients, particularly focusing on interest coverage ratios given the current cash rate environment of 4.1% and small business variable rates of 8.75%.
Based on ABARES, BOM and RBA data · 13/04/2026
Sugar sector credit risk is deteriorating, driven by Queensland's severely stressed seasonal conditions (regional score 23) despite modest price support at $480/t, with the state recording 0% of average rainfall while representing the dominant production region. Queensland-based sugarcane producers warrant immediate attention, particularly those with limited water security or high leverage, as the extreme dry conditions threaten both current crop yields and next season's planting decisions. Relationship managers should immediately review water allocation statements and irrigation infrastructure capacity for all Queensland sugar exposures, establishing monthly check-ins on water costs and availability through to the end of the crushing season.
For professional use only. Not financial advice.
13/04/2026
30 Days
Queensland's extreme dryness (0% of average rainfall) continues to support sugar prices despite modest gains. Watch for any weather pattern shifts as crushing season approaches, with current prices at $480/t showing resilience.
Next Season
The severe Queensland drought poses significant risks to cane production volumes, potentially reducing the 31.5Mt crush forecast. Water allocation constraints may force growers to prioritise critical growth phases, impacting overall sugar content and yields.
12-Month Risk
Heavy reliance on export markets, particularly China, creates vulnerability to geopolitical trade disruptions or demand shifts. A significant reduction in Chinese sugar imports could pressure Australian prices below $400/t despite domestic supply constraints.
AI-generated forward outlook · 13/04/2026
Australian sugar prices have edged up 1.2% to $480/t, supported by firm international demand with ICE No.11 futures holding at 19.8 USc/lb and South Korea maintaining its position as the top export market. The current crush season is progressing well with 31.5 Mt of cane processed and sugar content averaging a solid 14.2%, indicating good quality outcomes despite mixed seasonal conditions. Queensland's extremely dry conditions (0% of average rainfall) present the primary risk to watch, as the state dominates national sugar production and water allocations remain constrained. With no active biosecurity threats currently monitored, the key focus remains on weather patterns and international price dynamics as the crushing season continues.
AI-generated · 13/04/2026
Related sectors
No active biosecurity flags for sugar
Explore agricultural conditions in the main sugar-producing regions of Australia.
The current sugar price is $480 $/t, up 1.2% from the previous period. Last updated 11 April 2026.
agriIQ refreshes sugar prices daily using data from government and industry sources. Scores and AI narratives are regenerated each morning (AEST).
Key factors include seasonal conditions (rainfall, drought), global commodity demand, exchange rates, input costs (fuel, fertiliser), biosecurity events, and trade policy. agriIQ tracks these across seven scored dimensions.
Australia is a major sugar exporter. The Export Destinations chart above shows the current breakdown by destination country, based on ABS trade data.
agriIQ scores conditions across seven dimensions (farm profitability, commodity prices, seasonal conditions, input costs, exports, credit, and biosecurity) on a 0-100 scale using data from 18 authoritative Australian sources. See our methodology page for full details.