Live prices, trends & outlook · Updated daily
1234c/kg
▬ 0%
Updated 13 Apr 2026
Based on 119 days of live data
Eastern Market Indicator
1234
AWI · c/kg
Pass-in Rate
8.2
AWI · %
Clip Volume
320
ABARES · kt greasy
Top Export Market
China
ABARES
The current wool price of $12.34/kg represents a stabilising factor for cash flow across wool enterprises, though producers in New South Wales and Western Australia face the most challenging operating conditions with regional scores of 34 and 35 respectively, while Victorian woolgrowers benefit from more favourable seasonal conditions scoring 54. Merino producers in the lower-rainfall zones of NSW and WA are most exposed to current pressures, particularly those running larger flocks on marginal country where the combination of poor seasonal conditions, very dry soil moisture levels below 10%, and input cost pressures are compounding operational challenges. Financial advisers should immediately review debt servicing capacity ratios for wool clients, particularly in NSW and WA, given the sector's farm profitability score of 36 combined with cash rates at 4.1% creating a significant squeeze on working capital requirements.
Based on ABARES, BOM and RBA data · 13/04/2026
The wool sector credit risk posture is stable with underlying pressure, as the $12.34/kg price holds well above the $11.00/kg stress threshold despite a $0.27/kg weekly decline, though elevated lending rates at 8.75% for small business and deteriorating seasonal conditions continue to compress margins. New South Wales wool producers warrant closest attention given the state's critically low regional score of 34, extremely dry soil moisture at 9%, and the state's significant wool production base facing compounding seasonal stress. Relationship managers should immediately review covenant compliance for NSW wool clients, particularly debt service coverage ratios, as the combination of price volatility, high interest rates, and severe seasonal conditions creates heightened cash flow pressure heading into winter.
For professional use only. Not financial advice.
13/04/2026
30 Days
Wool prices likely to remain flat around $12.34/kg as China maintains its position as the top export market despite broader seasonal volatility. Weekly price movements of -27 c/kg suggest some consolidation after recent stability.
Next Season
SA's wettest conditions (300% of average) will boost wool quality and yields, whilst QLD drought (0% of average) constrains northern production. Overall clip volume may decline from current 320 kt greasy as dry conditions persist across key producing regions.
12-Month Risk
Any significant deterioration in Australia-China trade relations could severely impact wool exports given China's dominance as the top market. A sustained shift in Chinese textile demand or new trade barriers could push prices below $10/kg within 12 months.
AI-generated forward outlook · 13/04/2026
Wool prices remain steady at $12.34/kg despite the Eastern Market Indicator declining 27 cents weekly to 1234 c/kg, reflecting mixed market sentiment amid ongoing demand from China, Australia's top export market. The 8.2% pass-in rate indicates selective buying, with producers holding back lower-quality lots in anticipation of improved pricing. Current clip volume of 320kt greasy wool provides adequate supply for export commitments, though production may face headwinds from extremely dry soil moisture conditions across key wool-producing regions including NSW (9%) and WA (6.2%). With no active biosecurity alerts and export conditions remaining strong, the immediate outlook depends on Chinese demand patterns and seasonal recovery in drought-affected pastoral zones.
AI-generated · 13/04/2026
Related sectors
No active biosecurity flags for wool
Explore agricultural conditions in the main wool-producing regions of Australia.
The current wool price is $1234 c/kg, up 0.0% from the previous period. Last updated 13 April 2026.
agriIQ refreshes wool prices daily using data from government and industry sources. Scores and AI narratives are regenerated each morning (AEST).
Key factors include seasonal conditions (rainfall, drought), global commodity demand, exchange rates, input costs (fuel, fertiliser), biosecurity events, and trade policy. agriIQ tracks these across seven scored dimensions.
Australia is a major wool exporter. The Export Destinations chart above shows the current breakdown by destination country, based on ABS trade data.
agriIQ scores conditions across seven dimensions (farm profitability, commodity prices, seasonal conditions, input costs, exports, credit, and biosecurity) on a 0-100 scale using data from 18 authoritative Australian sources. See our methodology page for full details.